Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.024895 0.027367 0.029823 0.032442 0.035149 0.037861 0.040778
2025-02-02 0.019881 0.023885 0.027995 0.032500 0.037273 0.042157 0.047511
2025-02-09 0.015819 0.020718 0.025901 0.031718 0.038003 0.044537 0.051798
2025-02-16 0.013398 0.018970 0.025021 0.031942 0.039532 0.047515 0.056470
2025-02-23 0.011257 0.017290 0.024014 0.031844 0.040545 0.049787 0.060238
2025-03-02 0.009357 0.015696 0.022955 0.031555 0.041230 0.051600 0.063406
2025-03-09 0.007834 0.014403 0.022129 0.031433 0.042014 0.053444 0.066533
2025-03-16 0.006215 0.012833 0.020872 0.030730 0.042074 0.054427 0.068660
2025-03-23 0.005201 0.011938 0.020353 0.030821 0.042979 0.056300 0.071716
2025-03-30 0.004092 0.010792 0.019453 0.030410 0.043266 0.057445 0.073931
2025-04-06 0.003008 0.009534 0.018335 0.029683 0.043143 0.058092 0.075560
2025-04-13 0.001886 0.008010 0.016778 0.028358 0.042275 0.057859 0.076172
2025-04-20 0.001465 0.007644 0.016830 0.029126 0.044010 0.060747 0.080474
2025-04-27 0.000885 0.006851 0.016291 0.029185 0.044955 0.062797 0.083911
2025-05-04 0.000304 0.005695 0.015152 0.028438 0.044907 0.063687 0.086026
2025-05-11 0.000077 0.005126 0.014797 0.028652 0.045982 0.065840 0.089538
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004461 0.014233 0.028558 0.046655 0.067506 0.092477
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003775 0.013561 0.028282 0.047077 0.068858 0.095036
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003218 0.013034 0.028165 0.047670 0.070387 0.097775
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002501 0.012130 0.027493 0.047549 0.071059 0.099516
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002132 0.011797 0.027580 0.048352 0.072799 0.102463
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001641 0.011143 0.027188 0.048534 0.073790 0.104535
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001126 0.010307 0.026493 0.048310 0.074282 0.106014